Research & Insights
Update on the latest market information and credit outlook
Our Research & Insights
Pre-tax profit at the 27 listed banks within our coverage grew 19.6% YoY in 1H 2026, supported by robust net interest income, a strong recovery in service fee income, and effective control of operating expenses. Overall, the positive results were broad-based, with 22 of 27 banks posting positive growth, although divergence persisted and was concentrated
Corporate Bond Market Q2 2026 Overview: Property Sector Drives Market Growth Vietnam’s corporate bond market recorded a notable rebound in Q2 2026, with 160 successful issuances raising a total of VND 233.5 trillion (Figure 1). Activity improved significantly from the seasonally weaker first quarter. However, on a year-on-year basis, the number of issuances declined
Vietnam Economy Q2 2026: Growth Momentum Strengthens, Monetary Policy Becomes More Investment-Oriented Vietnam delivered another quarter of strong economic performance in Q2 2026, with GDP expanding 8.39% year-on-year and lifting first-half growth to 8.18%, the fastest pace recorded in recent years. Growth was underpinned by a broad-based recovery across manufacturing, exports, public investment, and
On June 22nd 2026, the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) officially issued Circular 25/2026 amending Circular 22, with a focus on relaxing certain prudential safety ratios for banks. Specifically, the ratio of short-term funds used for medium- and long-term loans (SMLR) was raised from 30% to 40%, while the SBV was also granted the authority
Overall, banks maintain a positive outlook on business prospects, though caution has increased amid global uncertainties, particularly the risk of energy supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. PBT growth targets show clear divergence: HDB (41%), OCB (39%), VPB (35%) lead with ambitious growth targets, while some conservative banks (STB 6%, LPB 5%, EIB 0.2%)
Credit Outlook: STABLE – LEANING POSITIVE S&I Ratings assesses the credit outlook for Vietnam’s brokerage sector in 2026 at Stable, while observing a gradual shift toward a Positive bias if securities companies effectively control risks. The brokerage sector enters 2026 with a strongly reinforced capital base accumulated during 2023–2025, landmark regulatory reforms, and the FTSE
Vietnam’s Economy in 2025: Growth Momentum Shaping a New Phase Key macroeconomic highlights of Vietnam in 2025: Vietnam concluded 2025 with an impressive GDP growth rate of 8.02% YoY, successfully meeting the National Assembly’s ambitious growth target. This marked the highest level of economic expansion in the past 15 years, excluding the exceptional post-pandemic rebound
Q3/2025 Corporate Bond Market: Record Early Buybacks Amid Cooling Issuance Corporate bond issuance in Q3/2025 totaled VND 156.1 trillion across 154 domestic deals and one international issuance by VPBank (USD 300 million), down 33% from Q2 but flat year-on-year. Activity cooled after a strong Q2 driven by major banks raising capital. Private placements still dominated
Vietnam’s Economy in Q3/2025: Strong Growth Supported by Low Interest Rates Vietnam’s GDP surged 8.23% YoY in Q3, bringing nine-month growth to 7.85%, the second-highest in 15 years, only behind the surge in 2022. Industrials and Construction (+8.69%) led the expansion, with Manufacturing (+9.92%) and Construction (+9.33%) posting robust gains. Services (+8.49%) and Agriculture (+3.83%)
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